Padres at D-backs
SD2–
AZ11Last play · David Peralta grounds out, first baseman Christian Walker to pitcher Ryne Nelson.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SD 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 7 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Christian Walker scores. Randal Grichuk to 2nd. (inning 4) — +16% D-backs
8Randal Grichuk homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Alek Thomas scores.2–11
7Eugenio Suárez homers (30) on a fly ball to center field.2–9
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Lockridge. Corbin Carroll scores.2–8
6Jake Cronenworth grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker. Luis Arraez scores.2–7
5Jake McCarthy doubles (13) on a ground ball to third baseman Tyler Wade. Randal Grichuk scores.1–7
4Ketel Marte homers (36) on a fly ball to left center field. Gabriel Moreno scores.1–6
4Geraldo Perdomo grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez. Jake McCarthy scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.1–4
4Gabriel Moreno doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder David Peralta. Eugenio Suárez scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.