Padres at D-backs
SD5–
AZ3Last play · Alek Thomas grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
D-backs0%
SD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 5 – 2 AZ
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to right fielder Pavin Smith. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Padres
6Eugenio Suárez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.5–3
4Luis Arraez triples (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Kyle Higashioka scores.5–2
1Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ketel Marte scores.4–2
1Corbin Carroll homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
1David Peralta singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Pavin Smith. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.4–0
1Xander Bogaerts grounds into a force out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Ketel Marte. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Ketel Marte.3–0
1Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Jurickson Profar scores. Manny Machado to 2nd.2–0
1Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to right fielder Pavin Smith. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.