Last play · Travis d'Arnaud grounds out, shortstop Ernie Clement to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
Win probability
Braves0%
TOR 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
TOR 6 – 1 ATL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+140 / -165
Braves favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -20% Blue Jays
9Michael Harris II grounds out, second baseman Will Wagner to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Orlando Arcia scores. Luke Williams to 3rd.9–5
9Luke Williams doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Ramón Laureano scores. Jarred Kelenic scores. Orlando Arcia to 3rd.9–4
9Jarred Kelenic singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Matt Olson scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Nathan Lukes.9–2
9Will Wagner singles on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.9–1
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds into a force out, second baseman Luke Williams to shortstop Orlando Arcia. Joey Loperfido scores. Nathan Lukes out at 2nd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 1st.8–1
9Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Ernie Clement scores. Joey Loperfido to 2nd.7–1
5Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Gio Urshela scores. Michael Harris II out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Nathan Lukes to shortstop Ernie Clement.6–1
5Will Wagner grounds out to first baseman Matt Olson. Spencer Horwitz scores.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.