Rockies at Braves
Last play · Jake Cave strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
COL 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -285
Braves favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarred Kelenic homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Olson scores. Travis d'Arnaud scores. (inning 1) — +15% Braves
6Jorge Soler singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Michael Harris II scores.2–5
2Charlie Blackmon doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Sam Hilliard scores.2–4
2Sam Hilliard triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Nolan Jones scores.1–4
1Jarred Kelenic homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Olson scores. Travis d'Arnaud scores.0–4
1Matt Olson doubles (32) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nolan Jones. Marcell Ozuna scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































