Blue Jays at Braves
Last play · George Springer strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
TOR 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Braves favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarred Kelenic singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Jorge Soler scores. Travis d'Arnaud to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Braves
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, second baseman Whit Merrifield to first baseman Matt Olson. Nathan Lukes scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.1–3
2Michael Harris II grounds into a force out, second baseman Will Wagner to shortstop Leo Jiménez. Jarred Kelenic scores. Gio Urshela out at 2nd. Michael Harris II to 1st.0–3
2Gio Urshela singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Travis d'Arnaud scores. Jarred Kelenic to 3rd.0–2
2Jarred Kelenic singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Jorge Soler scores. Travis d'Arnaud to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































