Rockies at Braves
Last play · Matt Olson grounds out to first baseman Michael Toglia.
Win probability
Braves0%
COL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+215 / -265
Braves favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Tovar homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — -14% Rockies
7Nolan Jones out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Michael Toglia scores.3–1
6Ezequiel Tovar homers (22) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Michael Toglia homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to left fielder Nolan Jones. Jorge Soler scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































