Blue Jays at Braves
Last play · Sean Murphy reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Spencer Horwitz. Eli White scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.
Win probability
Braves100%
TOR 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 1 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+215 / -265
Braves favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 8) — -52% Blue Jays
11Sean Murphy reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Spencer Horwitz. Eli White scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.3–4
11Adam Duvall reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Addison Barger. Michael Harris II scores. Eli White to 3rd. Adam Duvall to 2nd.3–3
11George Springer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Addison Barger scores.3–2
9Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Eli White scores.2–2
8Spencer Horwitz homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Ernie Clement scores.2–1
2Jarred Kelenic homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































