Royals at Braves
Last play · Travis d'Arnaud homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.
Win probability
Braves100%
KC 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Braves favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Michael Lorenzen. Jorge Soler scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd. (inning 4) — +16% Braves
9Travis d'Arnaud homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
4Ramón Laureano reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Michael Lorenzen. Jorge Soler scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd.1–1
3Dairon Blanco grounds into a double play, shortstop Orlando Arcia to second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Freddy Fermin scores. Garrett Hampson out at 2nd. Dairon Blanco out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































