Mets at Braves
Last play · Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
NYM 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 1 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Braves favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Sean Murphy scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 7) — +15% Braves
7Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Sean Murphy scores. Ozzie Albies scores.0–3
2Gio Urshela singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jorge Soler scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































