Rays at Orioles
Last play · Ben Rortvedt pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TB 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 1 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson homers (36) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +21% Orioles
6Gunnar Henderson homers (36) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
5Jackson Holliday out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Colton Cowser scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































