Orioles at Red Sox
Last play · Tyler O'Neill homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. Romy Gonzalez scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
BAL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler O'Neill homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. Romy Gonzalez scores. (inning 10) — +50% Red Sox
10Tyler O'Neill homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. Romy Gonzalez scores.3–5
10Emmanuel Rivera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Austin Slater scores.3–2
8Anthony Santander homers (41) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
4Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Masataka Yoshida scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.1–2
3Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to third baseman Emmanuel Rivera. Jarren Duran scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Emmanuel Rivera.1–1
3Emmanuel Rivera homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































