Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Byron Buxton grounds out, shortstop Nick Sogard to first baseman Triston Casas.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Romy Gonzalez homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 5) — +45% Red Sox
8Willi Castro walks. Trevor Larnach scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd. Royce Lewis to 2nd.3–9
6Connor Wong singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Masataka Yoshida scores.2–9
6Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jarren Duran scores.2–8
6Romy Gonzalez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.2–7
6Jarren Duran doubles (46) on a fly ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Wilyer Abreu scores. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.2–6
6Ceddanne Rafaela hit by pitch. Nick Sogard scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd. Enmanuel Valdez to 2nd.2–4
5Romy Gonzalez homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores.2–3
5Trevor Larnach singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Christian Vázquez scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































