Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Trevor Story strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
MIN 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 1 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trevor Story, deflected by pitcher Cooper Criswell. Kyle Farmer scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd. (inning 12) — -26% Twins
12Connor Wong grounds out, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Carlos Santana. Triston Casas scores.4–2
12Willi Castro out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Trevor Larnach scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd.4–1
12Matt Wallner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Byron Buxton scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd. Carlos Correa to 2nd.3–1
12Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trevor Story, deflected by pitcher Cooper Criswell. Kyle Farmer scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.2–1
7Carlos Correa grounds into a force out, third baseman Rafael Devers to second baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Byron Buxton scores. Trevor Larnach out at 2nd. Carlos Correa to 1st.1–1
4Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Tyler O'Neill scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































