Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Nick Sogard strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TB 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Lowe doubles (19) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jonathan Aranda scores. Jonny DeLuca out at home on the throw, center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela to shortstop Trevor Story to catcher Connor Wong. (inning 7) — -19% Rays
7Nick Sogard out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Josh Lowe. Vaughn Grissom scores.2–1
7Christopher Morel walks. Josh Lowe scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd. José Caballero to 2nd.2–0
7Josh Lowe doubles (19) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jonathan Aranda scores. Jonny DeLuca out at home on the throw, center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela to shortstop Trevor Story to catcher Connor Wong.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































