Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Jose Miranda strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 8 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Triston Casas homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Romy Gonzalez scores. Masataka Yoshida scores. (inning 1) — +24% Red Sox
5Triston Casas homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–8
4Romy Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jarren Duran scores.1–7
4Kyle Farmer reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Romy Gonzalez. Willi Castro scores.1–6
3Triston Casas homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Masataka Yoshida scores. Trevor Story scores.0–6
1Triston Casas homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Romy Gonzalez scores. Masataka Yoshida scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































