Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Oneil Cruz grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PIT 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 9 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 2) — +12% Cubs
8Miles Mastrobuoni singles on a line drive to left fielder Billy McKinney. Michael Busch scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.0–12
6Cody Bellinger homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Seiya Suzuki scores.0–11
5Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.0–9
5Dansby Swanson doubles (22) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds, deflected by third baseman Jared Triolo. Isaac Paredes scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.0–8
3Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–7
3Dansby Swanson homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Cody Bellinger scores.0–6
2Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–4
2Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































