Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Mike Tauchman flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PIT 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 0 CHC
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Triolo homers (7) on a line drive to left center field. Nick Gonzales scores. Connor Joe scores. (inning 7) — -16% Pirates
7Jared Triolo homers (7) on a line drive to left center field. Nick Gonzales scores. Connor Joe scores.5–0
3Rowdy Tellez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by first baseman Michael Busch. Oneil Cruz scores.2–0
3Andrew McCutchen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































