Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PIT 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (22) on a fly ball to center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Nick Gonzales scores. (inning 8) — -42% Pirates
9Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Jared Triolo scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Nick Gonzales advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by right fielder Cody Bellinger.5–3
8Andrew McCutchen homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
8Bryan Reynolds homers (22) on a fly ball to center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Nick Gonzales scores.3–3
5Ian Happ triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–3
3Dansby Swanson homers (13) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































