Yankees at Cubs
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
NYY 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Cubs favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Dansby Swanson scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Mike Tauchman to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Cubs
2Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–2
1Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Dansby Swanson scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Mike Tauchman to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































