Nationals at Cubs
Last play · Trey Lipscomb grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
WSH 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 5 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Cubs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Tauchman homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 1) — +13% Cubs
4Miguel Amaya homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–5
4Michael Busch homers (21) on a fly ball to right field.0–3
1Seiya Suzuki singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Dansby Swanson scores.0–2
1Mike Tauchman homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































