Nationals at Cubs
Last play · Darren Baker grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
WSH 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Cubs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Tauchman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Joey Gallo. Nico Hoerner scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 7) — +15% Cubs
8James Wood homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
7Mike Tauchman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Joey Gallo. Nico Hoerner scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–3
1Dansby Swanson homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































