Reds at Cubs
Last play · Cubs challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Spencer Steer grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CIN 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Dansby Swanson scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Cubs
8Mike Tauchman walks. Isaac Paredes scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.0–3
8Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Seiya Suzuki scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.0–2
8Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Dansby Swanson scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































