Braves at Reds
Last play · Amed Rosario grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Reds0%
ATL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 CIN
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Reds favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (38) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — -26% Braves
9Gio Urshela hits a ground-rule double (17) on a line drive to right field. Orlando Arcia scores.7–1
8Marcell Ozuna doubles (30) on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Eli White scores.6–1
8Michael Harris II homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.5–1
7Gio Urshela singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Matt Olson scores. Ramón Laureano scores. Sean Murphy out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder TJ Friedl to first baseman Ty France to third baseman Santiago Espinal.4–1
7Marcell Ozuna homers (38) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
6TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Matt Olson to second baseman Whit Merrifield. Elly De La Cruz scores. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.1–1
4Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Marcell Ozuna scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































