Braves at Reds
Last play · Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
ATL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 5 – 2 CIN
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Reds favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Stephenson scores. (inning 7) — +44% Reds
7Spencer Steer homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Stephenson scores.5–6
6Noelvi Marte doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Santiago Espinal scores. Jake Fraley scores. Fielding error by center fielder Michael Harris II.5–4
4Jake Fraley out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Ty France scores.5–2
4Jorge Soler homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
2Ramón Laureano singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Jorge Soler scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.4–1
1Tyler Stephenson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–1
1Matt Olson homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores.3–0
1Michael Harris II homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































