Pirates at Reds
Last play · Tyler Stephenson grounds out, shortstop Nick Gonzales to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Reds0%
PIT 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 0 CIN
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Yorke homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — -17% Pirates
5Nick Yorke homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Oneil Cruz homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































