Pirates at Guardians
Last play · Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
PIT 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Guardians favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — +11% Guardians
7Lane Thomas singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Josh Naylor scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.1–6
7José Ramírez homers (34) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
7Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Oneil Cruz steals (20) 2nd base. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Throwing error by catcher Austin Hedges.1–4
6Kyle Manzardo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
4Kyle Manzardo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
1Jhonkensy Noel doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. José Ramírez scores.0–2
1Andrés Giménez homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































