Rays at Guardians
Last play · Tyler Freeman grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Guardians0%
TB 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 2 CLE
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. José Caballero scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd. Jonny DeLuca advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Lane Thomas. (inning 4) — -14% Rays
9Logan Driscoll out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jose Siri scores.5–2
8José Caballero singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Taylor Walls scores. Josh Lowe to 2nd.4–2
4Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. José Caballero scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd. Jonny DeLuca advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Lane Thomas.3–2
4Jonathan Aranda out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Josh Lowe scores.2–2
2Andrés Giménez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Andrés Giménez to 2nd. Andrés Giménez advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Josh Lowe.1–2
1Lane Thomas doubles (25) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.1–1
1Brandon Lowe homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































