Twins at Guardians
Last play · Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 1 CLE
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 8) — +61% Guardians
8Kyle Manzardo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Naylor scores.3–4
7Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Kyle Manzardo scores. Will Brennan to 3rd. Bo Naylor to 2nd.3–2
5Andrés Giménez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Royce Lewis. Brayan Rocchio scores. Angel Martínez out at home, pitcher Pablo López to shortstop Carlos Correa.3–1
3Byron Buxton singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas, deflected by pitcher Matthew Boyd. Royce Lewis scores. Ryan Jeffers scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































