Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN4–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 80-71 · CLE 87-65

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	8	0
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	0

Last play · Bo Naylor grounds out to pitcher Griffin Jax.

Win probability

Guardians0%

MIN 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 2 – 1 CLE

Twins led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+120 / -145

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Willi Castro homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Trevor Larnach scores. (inning 8) — -21% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 4 total

8Willi Castro homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Trevor Larnach scores.4–1

5Matt Wallner singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Byron Buxton scores.2–1

4Lane Thomas homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.1–1

3Matt Wallner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Will Brennan. Ryan Jeffers scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Matt Wallner to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.