Rays at Guardians
Last play · Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
TB 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 0 CLE
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan Driscoll homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Siri scores. (inning 3) — -26% Rays
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: David Fry doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Jhonkensy Noel scores.3–1
4Jonathan Aranda homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
3Logan Driscoll homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Siri scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































