Rays at Guardians
Last play · Christopher Morel called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TB 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Daniel Schneemann scores. (inning 2) — +10% Guardians
5Josh Naylor called out on strikes.0–2
2Brayan Rocchio singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Daniel Schneemann scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































