Reds at Guardians
Last play · Jake Fraley grounds into a force out, third baseman José Ramírez to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Rece Hinds out at 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Guardians favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (38) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez scores. (inning 8) — +37% Guardians
8José Ramírez homers (38) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez scores.2–5
8Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Jake Fraley scores. Fielding error by center fielder Lane Thomas.2–2
7Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to second baseman Andrés Giménez. TJ Friedl scores. Throwing error by second baseman Andrés Giménez.1–2
4Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to left fielder Blake Dunn. José Ramírez scores.0–2
1Steven Kwan homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































