Reds at Guardians
Last play · TJ Friedl flies out to left fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 4 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Guardians favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 1) — +16% Guardians
7Lane Thomas grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Ty France. José Ramírez scores.1–6
7Josh Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Kyle Manzardo scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.1–5
5Josh Naylor doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. José Ramírez scores.1–4
4Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Tyler Stephenson scores.1–3
1Lane Thomas homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Josh Naylor scores.0–3
1Kyle Manzardo homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































