Twins at Guardians
Last play · Andrés Giménez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. José Ramírez scores. Lane Thomas to 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 CLE
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manuel Margot doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Kyle Farmer scores. Willi Castro scores. Fielding error by center fielder Lane Thomas. (inning 5) — -31% Twins
10Andrés Giménez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. José Ramírez scores. Lane Thomas to 2nd.2–3
6Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Josh Naylor scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd.2–2
5Manuel Margot doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Kyle Farmer scores. Willi Castro scores. Fielding error by center fielder Lane Thomas.2–1
1Kyle Manzardo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































