Astros at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians0%
HOU 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 3 CLE
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Dezenzo reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Grae Kessinger scores. Victor Caratini scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd. Zach Dezenzo to 2nd. (inning 2) — -25% Astros
3José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jason Heyward. Will Brennan scores.4–3
2Zach Dezenzo reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Grae Kessinger scores. Victor Caratini scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd. Zach Dezenzo to 2nd.4–2
2Jon Singleton walks. Jake Meyers scores. Grae Kessinger to 3rd. Victor Caratini to 2nd.2–2
1José Ramírez homers (39) on a fly ball to right field. Will Brennan scores.1–2
1Zach Dezenzo singles on a fly ball to left fielder Will Brennan. Kyle Tucker scores. Victor Caratini to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































