Rays at Tigers
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
TB 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Tigers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wenceel Pérez hits a ground-rule double (16) on a line drive down the right-field line. Trey Sweeney scores. Jake Rogers scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd. (inning 5) — +25% Tigers
9Brandon Lowe homers (21) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
5Wenceel Pérez hits a ground-rule double (16) on a line drive down the right-field line. Trey Sweeney scores. Jake Rogers scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































