D-backs at Astros
Last play · Jeremy Peña called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros0%
AZ 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 9 – 5 HOU
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Astros favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pavin Smith homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jake McCarthy scores. Eugenio Suárez scores. (inning 2) — -33% D-backs
9Yainer Diaz doubles (24) on a fly ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Kyle Tucker scores.12–6
9Eugenio Suárez homers (26) on a line drive to left field.12–5
8Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Chas McCormick. Geraldo Perdomo scores.11–5
7Luis Guillorme out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Eugenio Suárez scores.10–5
5Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.9–5
5Kyle Tucker out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Pavin Smith. Chas McCormick scores.9–4
5Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Ben Gamel scores. Chas McCormick to 2nd.9–3
5Pavin Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.9–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































