D-backs at Astros
Last play · Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
AZ 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Astros favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chas McCormick singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers scores. Ben Gamel to 2nd. (inning 4) — +27% Astros
7Jose Altuve homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.5–11
7Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jose Altuve, deflected by pitcher Caleb Ferguson. Jose Herrera scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd.5–10
6Jeremy Peña homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Yainer Diaz scores. Alex Bregman scores.4–10
6Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Jose Altuve scores. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.4–7
6Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Chas McCormick scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd.4–6
6Eugenio Suárez homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
4Alex Bregman walks. Chas McCormick scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.3–5
4Yordan Alvarez singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Ben Gamel scores. Chas McCormick to 2nd.3–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































