Angels at Astros
Last play · Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 4 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Kevin Pillar scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Taylor Ward scores. (inning 9) — -47% Angels
9Victor Caratini singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Mickey Moniak.9–8
9Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Kyle Tucker scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.9–7
9Zach Neto doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Kevin Pillar scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Taylor Ward scores.9–6
9Taylor Ward walks. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Kevin Pillar to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel to 2nd.6–6
8Shay Whitcomb singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Yainer Diaz scores. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.5–6
8Yainer Diaz doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Gustavo Campero. Alex Bregman scores.5–5
8Zach Neto homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.5–4
7Nolan Schanuel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Gustavo Campero to 2nd.4–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































