Last play · Michael Stefanic called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
LAA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
LAA 2 – 8 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+170 / -205
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Caratini homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Yainer Diaz scores. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 3) — +14% Astros
9Nolan Schanuel grounds into a force out, second baseman Grae Kessinger to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Gustavo Campero scores. Jack López to 3rd. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Nolan Schanuel to 1st.4–10
9Jack López singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Gustavo Campero to 2nd.3–10
7Kyle Tucker homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.2–10
7Yordan Alvarez homers (35) on a fly ball to center field.2–9
4Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Jeremy Peña scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd. Jake Meyers to 2nd.2–8
4Logan O'Hoppe homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.2–7
3Yordan Alvarez singles on a line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Jose Altuve scores. Fielding error by center fielder Mickey Moniak.1–7
3Victor Caratini homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Yainer Diaz scores. Jeremy Peña scores.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.