Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA3–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Minute Maid Park · SEA 81-77 · HOU 86-72

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	0
HOU	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	·	4	6	0

Last play · Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros100%

SEA 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 3 – 4 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-155 / +130

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jason Heyward homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Victor Caratini scores. (inning 5) — +30% Astros

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 6 total

5Jason Heyward homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Victor Caratini scores.3–4

4Kyle Tucker homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.3–2

3Jorge Polanco singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jason Heyward. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.3–1

3Randy Arozarena doubles (32) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.2–1

2Jorge Polanco homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.1–1

1Alex Bregman homers (26) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.