Mariners at Astros
Last play · Shay Whitcomb pops out to second baseman Leo Rivas.
Win probability
Astros0%
SEA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Justin Turner singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Dylan Moore scores. Victor Robles scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. (inning 6) — -31% Mariners
9Julio Rodríguez homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Robles scores.8–1
9Victor Robles doubles (18) on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers, deflected by second baseman Grae Kessinger. Dylan Moore scores.6–1
7Randy Arozarena reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Shay Whitcomb. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.5–1
7Victor Robles reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Shay Whitcomb. J.P. Crawford scores.4–1
7Mitch Garver homers (14) on a line drive to left center field.3–1
6Justin Turner singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Dylan Moore scores. Victor Robles scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.2–1
3Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jon Singleton scores. Victor Caratini to 2nd. Victor Caratini advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Julio Rodríguez.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































