Guardians at Royals
Last play · Salvador Perez flies out sharply to center fielder Lane Thomas.
Win probability
Royals0%
CLE 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 KC
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jhonkensy Noel scores. (inning 5) — -31% Guardians
8Kyle Isbel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Freddy Fermin scores.4–2
6Josh Naylor homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. José Ramírez scores.4–1
5Lane Thomas homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jhonkensy Noel scores.2–1
2Maikel Garcia doubles (24) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Yuli Gurriel scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































