Twins at Royals
Last play · Trevor Larnach flies out to left fielder MJ Melendez.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIN 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Hampson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Trevor Larnach. MJ Melendez scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Maikel Garcia to 2nd. (inning 5) — +15% Royals
5Salvador Perez singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Royce Lewis. Freddy Fermin scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. Tommy Pham to 2nd.0–2
5Garrett Hampson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Trevor Larnach. MJ Melendez scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































