Twins at Royals
Last play · Matt Wallner called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIN 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 3) — +11% Royals
8Yuli Gurriel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Dairon Blanco scores.0–5
5Hunter Renfroe singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. MJ Melendez scores.0–4
4Michael Massey homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
3Tommy Pham doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Kyle Isbel scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































