Padres at Dodgers
Last play · Donovan Solano strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SD 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 3 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Will Smith scores. Tommy Edman to 3rd. (inning 6) — +19% Dodgers
6Shohei Ohtani singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Will Smith scores. Tommy Edman to 3rd.3–4
5Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
4Shohei Ohtani doubles (36) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Gavin Lux scores. Miguel Rojas to 3rd.2–3
4Gavin Lux singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tommy Edman scores.2–2
2Jake Cronenworth grounds out, second baseman Gavin Lux to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.2–1
2Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill to 3rd.1–1
1Teoscar Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Shohei Ohtani scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































