Padres at Dodgers
SD4–
LAD2Last play · Dodgers challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Dodgers challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Dodgers challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Miguel Rojas grounds into a triple play, third baseman Manny Machado to second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Donovan Solano. Tommy Edman out at 3rd. Enrique Hernández out at 2nd. Miguel Rojas out at 1st.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
SD 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 1 LAD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — -25% Padres
9Enrique Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Will Smith scores. Tommy Edman to 2nd.4–2
4Jake Cronenworth doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Xander Bogaerts scores.4–1
4Xander Bogaerts singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Jurickson Profar scores.3–1
2Jake Cronenworth homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores.2–1
1Mookie Betts reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.