Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Nick Fortes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
PHI 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 MIA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-235 / +195
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — -15% Phillies
8Otto Lopez reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Kody Clemens. Jake Burger scores.5–2
7Jesús Sánchez singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Griffin Conine scores.5–1
6Kyle Schwarber strikes out on a foul tip.5–0
6Kody Clemens doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. J.T. Realmuto scores. Brandon Marsh scores.4–0
6Bryson Stott homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Bryson Stott singles on a pop up to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































