Nationals at Marlins
Last play · Xavier Edwards strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
WSH 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 1 MIA
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Marlins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Gallo homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Andrés Chaparro scores. James Wood scores. (inning 4) — -29% Nationals
9Andrés Chaparro grounds out softly, shortstop Xavier Edwards to first baseman Jonah Bride. Jacob Young scores.6–2
6Cristian Pache doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. David Hensley scores.5–2
6Keibert Ruiz homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.5–1
5Connor Norby doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Nick Fortes scores.4–1
4Joey Gallo homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Andrés Chaparro scores. James Wood scores.4–0
3Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Hensley. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jacob Young out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder David Hensley to shortstop Xavier Edwards.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































