Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Kyle Schwarber grounds out to first baseman Jonah Bride.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PHI 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 5 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-250 / +205
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Xavier Edwards scores. (inning 1) — +22% Marlins
8Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Stowers. Bryson Stott scores.5–9
8Bryson Stott doubles (18) on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Nick Castellanos scores.4–9
7Javier Sanoja reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Trea Turner. Griffin Conine scores. Nick Fortes scores. Javier Sanoja to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Trea Turner.3–9
7Otto Lopez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–7
6Jesús Sánchez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Xavier Edwards scores.3–6
5Jonah Bride homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–5
5Garrett Stubbs singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Connor Norby. Johan Rojas scores.3–4
4Connor Norby singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Otto Lopez scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd. David Hensley to 2nd.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































